At the Business Sale Report we have undertaken a straw poll of the business brokers and other professionals in the small to mid-market M&A industry to see how they thought 2010 would be for the buying and selling of businesses. Subscribers to the report can see who said what. So here are some of the opinions of the movers and shakers in the industry:

“Investors seem to be thinking that 2010 will be an improvement on 2009. People who have access to liquidity are making tentative signs they are willing to invest in the middle of the year when the situation should be clearer. Investors who can be creative when it comes to financing a deal are in a great position.”

“At the moment there appears to be a disconnect between the real business world and how the bankers who are funding businesses are operating. Recently there have been more signs of banks lending but they are only lending to people with a good track record, and also really only looking at one project at a time. However, some banks are lending at 75% debt for equity. The February bank reporting season will be important for the confidence of M&A in 2010. Asset-based businesses and those involved in the Internet I expect to be the best M&A prospects for 2010.”

“The market in businesses valued at between £1m and £2m has seen growth so far in the last quarter. I am therefore very positive about the outlook for 2010. People are looking to sell at the moment and funding is not too difficult for the right deal.”

“I am expecting 2010 to be better than 2009 but the outlook for 2011 is more uncertain as there may be more forced sellers then and prices for businesses will fall.”

“Some businesses are happy to sell assets to strengthen balance sheets. There will always be deals to be done but I envisage more forced sellers. My advice to anyone looking to buy a business in this market is to stick with what you know, as there are good deals to be had.”

“If unemployment hits 3 million then we will be in trouble. There are simply not enough smaller businesses on the market at the moment and demand has outstripped supply for good businesses. People are desperate to buy for turnover, as they want to exit in 5-10 years. People are not coming to the market as they think they will not get a good price. If the business is a good one and there are synergies with the buyer then businesses are selling for decent money.”

“There is no appetite for acquisitions of businesses with a high premium on goodwill. The banks have a policy that they will only lend on the value of goodwill if assets of the same value are used as collateral for the loan. I cannot see a revival of fortunes for engineering businesses for 2010. However I believe that Health and Safety businesses and those involved in the medical sector will be in demand next year.”

“I expect 2010 to be better for buying businesses but we are starting from a very low base. With a low volume of private equity transactions it is hard to gauge how strong the Limited Partnerships will be going into next year, as they haven’t really been tested. An expected change in Government will no doubt cause some uncertainty for the prospects in 2010.”

So there we have it, a mixture of positive and negative sentiment on the prospects for 2010. We certainly agree that any business with a good asset base and with good contracted positive cashflow will be a good prospect. To find out who said what, you will need to subscribe to the report. We believe that 2010 will be a good opportunity for buying businesses as long as you know exactly what you are doing as mistakes will be very costly. Make sure you have done good due diligence, have a good relationship with your funding partners and be ready to move quickly.

Buying a business is not like buying a car. Get it wrong with a business and it is likely to seriously hurt your wallet. So how can you tell if you are looking at one where the wheels might fall off? Nick Pritchard from Transaxman ltd has helped us put together a few examples of what to look out for and how to assess the true profitability of a businesses. Remember that the seller knows a lot more about the business than the buyer.

There are a number of indications that a business is in difficulties. Such as reduced recruitment and training activity, delay of planned maintenance, missing a major trade show, closure of product or quality development teams and reduced investment in tooling or software. When companies are prepared for sale, if the business is in some difficulty, they may simply cease any forward expenditure or investment. Continued investment in a business is essential in ensuring growing profits. This is often the reason that the best businesses to buy are the ones that are not actually being marketed for sale.

So you have seen a great business and you are doing due diligence. Don’t let the vendor pull the wool over your eyes! There was one well documented fraud where everything seemed hunky dory, but the vendors had hired in a number of temporary staff to make the factory look busier while the potential buyers were looking around.

Arriving at the adjusted net profit

There are essentially two main types of adjustments that need to be made:

* Allowances for non-recurring items, such as a grant or a big debt
* Items shown as costs that are really a distribution to the current owners.

For example, distributions to owners might be special pension contributions, or expenses that are a consequence of the life style of the shareholders, as well as the usual salaries and benefits in kind. In one instance a US business was in the process of buying a company in South Wales, unfortunately the vendor had forgotten that he had put his Cardiff Arms Park debenture through the company – Once the purchaser understood the importance of being able to take customers to the match, the vendor had to buy his own tickets.

Where a company occupies its own freehold property it may also be necessary to adjust the trading results for a notional rent charge, if the property is worth substantially more than its book value.

Standardising earnings
The purpose of restating results is to show what the earnings of the business would have been on a standardised basis, as a guide to the future earnings. The valuation exercise is done therefore to establish how much a theoretical buyer would be prepared to pay as a capital sum in exchange for the right to receive those future earnings.

Earnings for this purpose would be trading profits before interest but after a notional taxation charge. This recognises that the value of the business may be different from the value of the equity, as the latter value will depend on how the business has been financed. Where businesses have accumulated cash reserves it should be remembered that these funds represent past earnings which have not been distributed.

The other day I was talking to a business purchaser who told me he was just about to draft his Heads of Agreement for a purchase of a non-core business division, when his partner, who was having a chat to one of the target’s employees, unearthed a very nasty employment dispute between the owner and one of his sales managers.

At first they weren’t too concerned, after all the business was changing hands – it wasn’t their problem.

Fortunately, the buyers ran it past their lawyer, who in no uncertain terms told them that it sure was going to be their problem, and that the owner should have disclosed the details on the dispute. The potential downside wasn’t going to be too severe, in the low five figures, if the employee won in arbitration. However the fact that the vendor owner held this back put the buyers right off, not unsurprisingly concerned there may be other skeletons in the closet.

The legal side of this is all laid out in no uncertain terms under the Transfer of Undertakings (Protection of Employment) Regulations 2006, commonly referred to as TUPE.

Anyone buying a business needs to understand that they are not only inheriting employees, but also responsibility to honour all existing employment contracts and conditions of employment. This extends to disputes, tribunal claims and collective employment agreements.

The TUPE regulations apply whenever there is deemed to be a ‘relevant transfer’ of an undertaking and applies to mergers, sale of a business by way of assets sale, going concern, or a change in franchisee among others. It does not apply to business transfers by way of share take-over.

For a more in-depth look, please read our full article on TUPE Regulations, published in the March 2008 issue of the Business Sale Report.